13 The Delphi Method is _____ .
A used to derive a consensus arriving at a convergent solution
B useful in determining probability relating to future events.
C used with questionnaires based on established scenarios.
D continued as an iterative process until a solution is reached.
E All of the above.
ans:E
14 Risk Event Status is defined as _____ .
A Risk Probability x Amount At Stake.
B the severity of the consequences.
C how likely the event is to occur with risk.
D (Cost + Benefit + Business Risk) / Insurable Risk.
E B and C
ans:A
15 The Utility Theory _____ .
A considers risk propensity of the decision maker.
B attempts to formalize management's risk considerations.
C works well with decision tree analysis.
D is considered highly theoretical.
E All of the above. 我考网论坛
ans:B
16 The Quality Risk _____ .
A is minimized through continuous monitoring.
B is considered a long term risk.
C will be reflected in the in-service life of the project result.
D B and C
E All of the above.
ans:E
17 Using the figure in the Special Window, what is the probability of success for Project B?
A 0.3
B 0.2
C 0.35
D 0.15
E 0.12
ans:C
18 Using the diagram in the Special window, what is the probability that Alternative I will be adopted and completed below budget:
A 1.4
B 0.8
C 0.2
D 0.12
E None of the above
ans:D
19 Using the possible loss outcomes shown in the Special window, find the expected (loss)
A ￥0
B ￥-1,300
C ￥-2,000
D ￥-3,000
E None of the above
ans:B
20 Using the possible profit and loss outcomes shown in the Special window, find the expected profit (loss)
A ￥-1,000
B ￥1,000
C ￥2,000 来源：考试大
D ￥1,200
E None of the above
ans:D

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